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Sunday, June 24, 2012

24-Jun Updated Straight Scores

Previous record carried from earlier.

Recent straight scores:
23-Jun Spain 2 - France 0 +627 risk 2x --- WIN 14.54x
23-Jun Spain 1 - France 0 +454 risk 2x --- LOSE 2x
22-Jun Germany 2 - Greece 0 +452 risk 2x --- LOSE 2x
22-Jun Germany 1 - Greece 0  +520 risk 2x --- LOSE 2x
Record: 1-0-3 +8.54x
Previous Record: 2-0-3 +18x
Total Record: 3-0-6 +26.54

24-Jun Updated Record

Latest plays:
23-Jun Spain win v. France  -126  20x --- WIN 20x
22-Jun Germany/Greece u2.5  -109  10x --- LOSE 10.9X

Record: 1-0-1 +9.1x
June Record: 13.5-0.5-6 +122.17 (12.2%)
Overall Record: 31-2-13 +259.23x (25.923%)

Thursday, June 21, 2012

21-Jun Updated Record


21-Jun  Portugal win v Czech Rep -125 20x --- WIN 20x
next four from blog and twitter post
20-Jun  Öster win v Falkenberg -161  10x --- WIN 10x
20-Jun  BP win v. Varberg  -148  10x --- WIN 10x
20-Jun  Ljungskile win v. Degerfor -160  10x --- LOSE 16X
20-Jun  Three parlayed risk 5x to win 8.46x --- LOSE 5x
Record:  3-0-2  +19x
June Record:  12.5-0.5-5  +113.07 (11.3%)
Overall Record:  30-2-12 +250.13x (25.013%)

Wednesday, June 20, 2012

20-Jun Superettan Plays -- Day of the Favourites

Not many great plays in Superettan, and none in Finland.  Lots of under teams vs. over teams type matchups.  Other matchups are coinflips, or a draw in waiting.  Except for three matches of big favourites that all look likely to win.  Östers IF is the league champ to date and is 6-0-0 at home, so it would be best to ride that out against midtier Falkenberg that's been ugly on the road.  Tough to eye the -0.75 in this match, because Öster does not win big, usually 1-0 or 2-1.  BP (or IF Brommapojkarna) is always a tough team and is 6-0-0 at home, as well. Varbergs BoIS, however, is a slightly more dangerous opponent, and BP is prone to let in a goal or two en route to a win.  Thus I go for the straight win and not the -0.75 or -1; over was tempting however.  The last and more tentative play would be Ljungskile over Degerfor.  Ljungskile likely won't be in the promotion conversation like BP or Öster, but they are playing a team definitely in the demotion conversation. Ljungskile is 3-1-0 in its last four at home, 6-1-3 in the last ten v. Degerfor, and 4-1-0 at home with the draw in 2006.

A parlay of the three favourite pays 4.42 or +342, and while I steer clear of parlays more than two, I'll give this one a shot.  If you wish to decrease risk, Öster/BP parlay is 2.69/+169.

OFFICIAL PLAYS FOR 20-JUN
(all Superettan)
Öster win v Falkenberg
BP win v. Varberg  -148  10x
Ljungskile win v. Degerfor -160  10x
Three parlayed risk 5x to win 8.46x

Tuesday, June 19, 2012

19-Jun Updated Record


RECENT TWITTER STRAIGHT PLAYS
19-Jun England to win v. Ukraine +105 20x --- WIN 20x
19-Jun FRA to win & ENG to win +224 risk 10x --- LOSS -10x
19-Jun Group D both matchs u2.5 +224 risk 10x --- WIN +22.4x
17-Jun Superettan Ängelholm to win v. Degerfors -112 10x --- WIN 10x
17-Jun Veikkausliiga‬ -- Mariehamn‬ over MyPa -102 10x  --- LOSS -10.2x
Record: 3-0-2  +32.2x (3.22%)
June Record: 9.5-0.5-3 +94.07 (9.4%)
Total: 27-2-10 +231.13x (23.113%)

Latest plays were here, but I removed the DEU/NED straight score to avoid double counting, as it was added here.  Otherwise, it will be the same as the previous post.


RECENT TWITTER STRAIGHT PLAYS
16-Jun Euro 2012 Czech PK  +150  10x --- WIN 10x
16-Jun Superettan Falkenberg to win v. Trelleborg -105  10x --- WIN 10x
15-Jun Group D both matches o2.0 +190  10x --- HALF WIN +5x
14-Jun Nadal v. Kohlschreiber u22 -110  10x --- WIN +10x
13-Jun Germany PK v. Netherlands -132  20x --- WIN +20x
13-Jun Germany/Netherlands o2.5  +101  10x --- WIN +10x
13-Jun Germany 2 - Netherlands 1  +600 risk 2x --- WIN +12x***
09-Jun Netherlands -1 v. Denmark +123  10x --- LOSS -8.13x
08-Jun Antigua and Barbuda +3 vs United States  +150  5x --- WIN +5x
Record: 6.5-0.5-1 +61.87x (6.187%)
Blog posts: 17.5-1.5-7 +137.06x (13.793%)
Total: 24-2-8  +198.93 (19.893%)

*** - Removed from totals and added to straight scores blog post.

Completed Forecasts and Scores (Euro2012)


RECENT TWITTER EURO FORECASTS
16-Jun Russia & Czech Rep Advance +385 risk 5x--- LOSS 5x
16-Jun Poland finishes last +385 risk 2x --- WIN 7.7x
16-Jun Czech Rep Qualify +265 risk 2x --- WIN 5.3x
15-Jun Karim Benzema to lead scoring +2500  risk 1x to win 25x --- LOSS 1x (technically not a loss, yet)
14-Jun Group D Dual Forecast France & England  +175 risk 10x --- WIN 17.5x
08-Jun Group B Dual Forecast: Germany & Netherlands +100 5x --- LOSS 5x
06-Jun Group C Straight Forecast: 1) Spain 2) Ireland +780 risk 2x to win 15.6x --- LOSS 2x
Record: 3-0-4 +17.5x (+1.75%)


RECENT TWITTER EURO STRAIGHT SCORES

19-Jun France 2 - Sweden 0  +567 risk 2x --- LOSS -2x
19-Jun France 1 - Sweden 0  +634 risk 2x --- LOSS -2x
19-Jun England 2 - Ukraine 0  +600 risk 2x --- WIN +12x
19-Jun England 1 - Ukraine 0  +722 risk 2x --- LOSS -2x
13-Jun Germany 2 - Netherlands 1  +600 risk 2x --- WIN +12x***
Record: 2-0-3 +18x (+1.8%)


*** - moved from straight plays to straight scores.

Saturday, June 16, 2012

17-Jun Superettan Ängelholm to win v. Degerfors -112 10x

Ängelholm is in a bit of an ugly stretch, but Degerfor is in even worse.  Both were contending for promotion last year and have finished around each others' table position in the last couple years.  But looking deeper into the numbers, Ängelholm has scored a goal in 100% of their home matches and Degerfor has scored just once in their five road matches.  Ängelholm should win this to get back on track