24-Jun Updated Straight Scores

Previous record carried from earlier.

Recent straight scores:
23-Jun Spain 2 - France 0 +627 risk 2x --- WIN 14.54x
23-Jun Spain 1 - France 0 +454 risk 2x --- LOSE 2x
22-Jun Germany 2 - Greece 0 +452 risk 2x --- LOSE 2x
22-Jun Germany 1 - Greece 0  +520 risk 2x --- LOSE 2x
Record: 1-0-3 +8.54x
Previous Record: 2-0-3 +18x
Total Record: 3-0-6 +26.54

24-Jun Updated Record

Latest plays:
23-Jun Spain win v. France  -126  20x --- WIN 20x
22-Jun Germany/Greece u2.5  -109  10x --- LOSE 10.9X

Record: 1-0-1 +9.1x
June Record: 13.5-0.5-6 +122.17 (12.2%)
Overall Record: 31-2-13 +259.23x (25.923%)

21-Jun Updated Record

21-Jun  Portugal win v Czech Rep -125 20x --- WIN 20x
next four from blog and twitter post
20-Jun  Öster win v Falkenberg -161  10x --- WIN 10x
20-Jun  BP win v. Varberg  -148  10x --- WIN 10x
20-Jun  Ljungskile win v. Degerfor -160  10x --- LOSE 16X
20-Jun  Three parlayed risk 5x to win 8.46x --- LOSE 5x
Record:  3-0-2  +19x
June Record:  12.5-0.5-5  +113.07 (11.3%)
Overall Record:  30-2-12 +250.13x (25.013%)

20-Jun Superettan Plays -- Day of the Favourites

Not many great plays in Superettan, and none in Finland.  Lots of under teams vs. over teams type matchups.  Other matchups are coinflips, or a draw in waiting.  Except for three matches of big favourites that all look likely to win.  Östers IF is the league champ to date and is 6-0-0 at home, so it would be best to ride that out against midtier Falkenberg that's been ugly on the road.  Tough to eye the -0.75 in this match, because Öster does not win big, usually 1-0 or 2-1.  BP (or IF Brommapojkarna) is always a tough team and is 6-0-0 at home, as well. Varbergs BoIS, however, is a slightly more dangerous opponent, and BP is prone to let in a goal or two en route to a win.  Thus I go for the straight win and not the -0.75 or -1; over was tempting however.  The last and more tentative play would be Ljungskile over Degerfor.  Ljungskile likely won't be in the promotion conversation like BP or Öster, but they are playing a team definitely in the demotion conversation. Ljungskile is 3-1-0 in its last four at home, 6-1-3 in the last ten v. Degerfor, and 4-1-0 at home with the draw in 2006.

A parlay of the three favourite pays 4.42 or +342, and while I steer clear of parlays more than two, I'll give this one a shot.  If you wish to decrease risk, Öster/BP parlay is 2.69/+169.

OFFICIAL PLAYS FOR 20-JUN
(all Superettan)
Öster win v Falkenberg
BP win v. Varberg  -148  10x
Ljungskile win v. Degerfor -160  10x
Three parlayed risk 5x to win 8.46x

19-Jun Updated Record

RECENT TWITTER STRAIGHT PLAYS
19-Jun England to win v. Ukraine +105 20x --- WIN 20x
19-Jun FRA to win & ENG to win +224 risk 10x --- LOSS -10x
19-Jun Group D both matchs u2.5 +224 risk 10x --- WIN +22.4x
17-Jun Superettan Ängelholm to win v. Degerfors -112 10x --- WIN 10x
17-Jun Veikkausliiga‬ -- Mariehamn‬ over MyPa -102 10x  --- LOSS -10.2x
Record: 3-0-2  +32.2x (3.22%)
June Record: 9.5-0.5-3 +94.07 (9.4%)
Total: 27-2-10 +231.13x (23.113%)

Latest plays were here, but I removed the DEU/NED straight score to avoid double counting, as it was added here.  Otherwise, it will be the same as the previous post.


RECENT TWITTER STRAIGHT PLAYS
16-Jun Euro 2012 Czech PK  +150  10x --- WIN 10x
16-Jun Superettan Falkenberg to win v. Trelleborg -105  10x --- WIN 10x
15-Jun Group D both matches o2.0 +190  10x --- HALF WIN +5x
14-Jun Nadal v. Kohlschreiber u22 -110  10x --- WIN +10x
13-Jun Germany PK v. Netherlands -132  20x --- WIN +20x
13-Jun Germany/Netherlands o2.5  +101  10x --- WIN +10x
13-Jun Germany 2 - Netherlands 1  +600 risk 2x --- WIN +12x***
09-Jun Netherlands -1 v. Denmark +123  10x --- LOSS -8.13x
08-Jun Antigua and Barbuda +3 vs United States  +150  5x --- WIN +5x
Record: 6.5-0.5-1 +61.87x (6.187%)
Blog posts: 17.5-1.5-7 +137.06x (13.793%)
Total: 24-2-8  +198.93 (19.893%)

*** - Removed from totals and added to straight scores blog post.

Completed Forecasts and Scores (Euro2012)

RECENT TWITTER EURO FORECASTS
16-Jun Russia & Czech Rep Advance +385 risk 5x--- LOSS 5x
16-Jun Poland finishes last +385 risk 2x --- WIN 7.7x
16-Jun Czech Rep Qualify +265 risk 2x --- WIN 5.3x
15-Jun Karim Benzema to lead scoring +2500  risk 1x to win 25x --- LOSS 1x (technically not a loss, yet)
14-Jun Group D Dual Forecast France & England  +175 risk 10x --- WIN 17.5x
08-Jun Group B Dual Forecast: Germany & Netherlands +100 5x --- LOSS 5x
06-Jun Group C Straight Forecast: 1) Spain 2) Ireland +780 risk 2x to win 15.6x --- LOSS 2x
Record: 3-0-4 +17.5x (+1.75%)


RECENT TWITTER EURO STRAIGHT SCORES

19-Jun France 2 - Sweden 0  +567 risk 2x --- LOSS -2x
19-Jun France 1 - Sweden 0  +634 risk 2x --- LOSS -2x
19-Jun England 2 - Ukraine 0  +600 risk 2x --- WIN +12x
19-Jun England 1 - Ukraine 0  +722 risk 2x --- LOSS -2x
13-Jun Germany 2 - Netherlands 1  +600 risk 2x --- WIN +12x***
Record: 2-0-3 +18x (+1.8%)


*** - moved from straight plays to straight scores.

17-Jun Superettan Ängelholm to win v. Degerfors -112 10x

Ängelholm is in a bit of an ugly stretch, but Degerfor is in even worse.  Both were contending for promotion last year and have finished around each others' table position in the last couple years.  But looking deeper into the numbers, Ängelholm has scored a goal in 100% of their home matches and Degerfor has scored just once in their five road matches.  Ängelholm should win this to get back on track

17-Jun Veikkausliiga‬ -- Mariehamn‬ over MyPa -102 10x 10x

Saw the line move to my liking presumably due to weather.  I still like the team from Åland to get the job done at home.  MyPa is in mediocre form and IFK Mariehamn‬ is a juggernaut at home.  Drop from -122 to -102 sealed the play.

Pending Euro Forecasts

PENDING EURO FORECASTS
15-Jun Karim Benzema to lead scoring +2500  risk 1x to win 25x <--- Doubtful
14-Jun Group D Dual Forecast France & England  +175 risk 10x <--- Promising
08-Jun Group B Dual Forecast: Germany & Netherlands +100 5x <--- Can't see this hitting
06-Jun Group C Straight Forecast: 1) Spain 2) Ireland +780 risk 2x to win 15.6x <--- will lose

Recent Completed Twitter plays

RECENT TWITTER STRAIGHT PLAYS
19-Jun England to win v. Ukraine +105 20x --- WIN 20x
19-Jun FRA to win & ENG to win +224 risk 10x --- LOSS -10x
19-Jun Group D both matchs u2.5 +224 risk 10x --- WIN +22.4x
17-Jun Superettan Ängelholm to win v. Degerfors -112 10x --- WIN 10x
17-Jun Veikkausliiga‬ -- Mariehamn‬ over MyPa -102 10x  --- LOSS -10.2x
Record: 3-0-2  +32.2x (3.22%)
June Record: 9.5-0.5-3 +94.07 (9.4%)
Total: 27-2-10 +231.13x (23.113%)


Latest plays were here, but I removed the DEU/NED straight score to avoid double counting, as it was added here.  Otherwise, it will be the same as the previous post.


RECENT TWITTER STRAIGHT PLAYS
16-Jun Euro 2012 Czech PK  +150  10x --- WIN 10x
16-Jun Superettan Falkenberg to win v. Trelleborg -105  10x --- WIN 10x
15-Jun Group D both matches o2.0 +190  10x --- HALF WIN +5x
14-Jun Nadal v. Kohlschreiber u22 -110  10x --- WIN +10x
13-Jun Germany PK v. Netherlands -132  20x --- WIN +20x
13-Jun Germany/Netherlands o2.5  +101  10x --- WIN +10x
13-Jun Germany 2 - Netherlands 1  +600 risk 2x --- WIN +12x***
09-Jun Netherlands -1 v. Denmark +123  10x --- LOSS -8.13x
08-Jun Antigua and Barbuda +3 vs United States  +150  5x --- WIN +5x
Record: 6.5-0.5-1 +61.87x (6.187%)
Blog posts: 17.5-1.5-7 +137.06x (13.793%)
Total: 24-2-8  +198.93 (19.893%)

*** - Removed from totals and added to straight scores blog post.

Updated Record

LAST GAMES

19-Apr WIN 10x Veikkausliga   MYPA to win v. FF Jaro  +155; +10x; Total: 17.5-1.5-7  +137.06x

19-Apr LOSS 10xVeikkausliga   JJK -0.75 v. Haka  -106; -10.6x; Total: 16.5-1.5-7  +127.06x

15-Apr  LOSS 2.Bundesliga  1860 to win v. Bochum  +200; -5x; Total: 16.5-1.5-6  +137.66x

15-Apr  WIN 2.Bundesliga  Paderborn -0.75 v. Cottbus  +104; +10x; Total: 16.5-1.5-5  +142.66x

15-Apr  1/2 WIN 10x Superettan  Ängelholm -0.75 v. Västerås -103; +5x; Total: 15.5-1.5-5  +132.66x

15-Apr LOSS 10x Allsvenskan  Åtvidaberg win v. Mjällby +259; -3.89x; Total: 15-1-5  +127.66x

15-Apr LOSS 10x 1.Bundesliga  Freiburg/Hoffenheim o2.75 +107; -10x; Total: 15-1-4  +131.55x

14-Apr WIN 10x Blackhawks win v. Coyotes  -105; +10x; Total: 15-1-3  +141.55x

14 Apr WIN 5 Blues/Sharks u5 -125; +5x; Total: 14-1-3  +131.55x

13-Apr 1/2 WIN 10x Fürth -0.75 vs. Sankt Pauli -115; +5x; Total: 13-1-3  +126.55x

13-Apr WIN 10x  Union/Braunschweig u2.5 -101; +10x; Total: 12.5-0.5-3  +121.55x

10-Apr WIN 20x Copa Libertadores Deportivo Quito -1 vs. Defensor Sporting -107; +20x; Total: 11.5-0.5-3  +111.55x
10-Apr WIN 20x Copa Libertadores Deportivo Quito win vs. Defensor Sporting -171; +20x; Total: 10.5-0.5-3  +91.55x

10-Apr WIN 10x Allsvenskan Åtvidabergs win v. Gefle -102; +10x; Total: 9.5-0.5-3  +71.55x

10-Apr WIN 10x Allsvenskan Åtvidabergs/Gefle o2.5 +122 10x; +10x; Total: 8.5-0.5-3  +61.55x

10-Apr 1/2 WIN 10x Bundesliga Hertha Berlin/Freiburg o2.75 +107; +5x; Total: 7.5-0.5-3  +51.55x

10-Apr WIN 10x Bundesliga Mainz 05/Köln o2.75 -112; +10x; Total: 7-0-3  +46.55x

06-Apr LOSS  10x Allsvenskan (Swedish top tier)  Gefle to win vs. Syrianska  +107  10x; -9.35; Total: 6-0-3  +27.2x

06-Apr WIN 10x Championship (England second tier)  Reading -1 vs. Leeds +103; +10x; Total: 6-0-2  +36.55x

06-Apr LOSS 10x Championship (England second tier)  Watford/Blackpool o2.5  -139; -6.95; Total: 5-0-2  +26.55x

06-Apr WIN 10x Turkish Süper Lig  Karabükspor/Beşiktaş draw  +274; +5; Total: 5-0-1  +33.5x

05-Apr LOSS 10x NHL Senators/Bruins o5.5 -115  10x; -11.5x; Total: 4-0-1  +28.5

05-Apr WIN 10x UEFA Europa League: Hannover/Atlético o2.5 -120; +10x; Total: 4-0-0  +40x

04-Apr WIN 10x NHL Lightning/Canadians o5.5  -110: +10x; Total:   3-0-0  +30x
04-Apr WIN 10x UEFA CL Chelsea/Benfica o2.5  -117: +10x; Total: 2-0-0  +20x
03-Apr WIN 10x UEFA CL Bayern/Marseilles at half u4.5 -120; +10x; Total: 1-0-0  +10x.

Revitalize

After finishing third out of 41 cappers in JLB's contest, I think I'll try to restart the blog.  In sports that aren't my strong suit (NBA/MLB), I used my capping ability to finish 20-12 and up 10.07 units in 10 days.  Plays will, as always be documented on Twitter.  I will also try to pool together my past plays.