Sports capping is a bloated field. I provide excellent analysis and capping for football (soccer), hockey, and other sports in leagues across the globe.

Official Twitter: Twitter.com/TomJSports
Official email: tomjsports(at)gmail(dot)com


Info is for entertainment purposes only!!

Wednesday, June 20, 2012

20-Jun Superettan Plays -- Day of the Favourites

Not many great plays in Superettan, and none in Finland.  Lots of under teams vs. over teams type matchups.  Other matchups are coinflips, or a draw in waiting.  Except for three matches of big favourites that all look likely to win.  Östers IF is the league champ to date and is 6-0-0 at home, so it would be best to ride that out against midtier Falkenberg that's been ugly on the road.  Tough to eye the -0.75 in this match, because Öster does not win big, usually 1-0 or 2-1.  BP (or IF Brommapojkarna) is always a tough team and is 6-0-0 at home, as well. Varbergs BoIS, however, is a slightly more dangerous opponent, and BP is prone to let in a goal or two en route to a win.  Thus I go for the straight win and not the -0.75 or -1; over was tempting however.  The last and more tentative play would be Ljungskile over Degerfor.  Ljungskile likely won't be in the promotion conversation like BP or Öster, but they are playing a team definitely in the demotion conversation. Ljungskile is 3-1-0 in its last four at home, 6-1-3 in the last ten v. Degerfor, and 4-1-0 at home with the draw in 2006.

A parlay of the three favourite pays 4.42 or +342, and while I steer clear of parlays more than two, I'll give this one a shot.  If you wish to decrease risk, Öster/BP parlay is 2.69/+169.

OFFICIAL PLAYS FOR 20-JUN
(all Superettan)
Öster win v Falkenberg
BP win v. Varberg  -148  10x
Ljungskile win v. Degerfor -160  10x
Three parlayed risk 5x to win 8.46x

No comments:

Post a Comment