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Friday, April 6, 2012

06-Apr Football Plays: Championship, Allsvenskan, Süper Lig

06-Apr
15:00 CET (9:00 EST)  Allsvenskan (Swedish top tier)  Gefle to win vs. Syrianska  +107  10x
15:00 CET (9:00 EST)  Championship (England second tier)  Reading -1 vs. Leeds +103  10x
16:00 CET (10:00 EST)  Championship (England second tier)  Watford/Blackpool o2.5  -139  5x
19:00 CET (13:00 EST)  Turkish Süper Lig  Karabükspor/Beşiktaş draw  +274  5x

Gefle was a solid 7-4-4 at home last season, and I expect that to continue.  Syrianska got a lucky result at home last week against contender IFK, but they're on the road for this one where they fared 2-0-13 last season.  With Gefle fielding a solid squad and Syrianska recently flirting with demotion, Gefle takes this in a low scorer: 1-0 or 2-1.

Leeds is coming off a couple of decent road results, but they weren't against the likes of a Reading team that is ready for promotion.  Reading is 12-4-4 at home and have a victory in their pocket earlier against Leed on the road.  Reading should get this by two, but worst case, it's by one and a push.

Watford and Blackpool are great over 2.5 squads, 60% and 80% respectively.  However Watford is a bit more conservative at home with only 47.5% overs hitting, along with Blackpool at 70% on the road.  Couple that with some massive chalk, and I'll only take on a small play on this one.

Beşiktaş is coming off of three straight road draws agains lesser teams.  Sure they're a top tier team in the Süper Lig, but their crummy run and Karabükspor's 11-2-3 dominance at home (even beating Fenerbahçe has me thinking they at least have a draw in them.  Should be a low scoring affair, too, if you can find it.

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Senators/Bruins loss was bad, but still the right call.  Can't fault it.  Especially after lucking out with the Hannover/Atlético, can't complain.

LAST GAMES

05-Apr LOSS 10x NHL Senators/Bruins o5.5 -115  10x; -11.5x; Total: 4-0-1  +28.5
05-Apr WIN 10x UEFA Europa League: Hannover/Atlético o2.5 -120; +10x; Total: 4-0-0  +40x
04-Apr WIN 10x NHL Lightning/Canadians o5.5  -110: +10x; Total:   3-0-0  +30x
04-Apr WIN 10x UEFA CL Chelsea/Benfica o2.5  -117: +10x; Total: 2-0-0  +20x
03-Apr WIN 10x UEFA CL Bayern/Marseilles at half u4.5 -120; +10x; Total: 1-0-0  +10x.

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