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Thursday, April 19, 2012

19-Apr Veikkausliga plays

17:30 CET (11:30 EST)  Veikkausliga   MYPA to win v. FF Jaro  +155  10x
17:30 CET (1:30 EST)  Veikkausliga   JJK -0.75 v. Haka  -106  10x

I like both of these Veikkausliga plays a lot.  MYPA beat FF Jaro all three times they played last year, including two in Jakobstad.  With the match in Myllykoski, and Jaro still not a great team with the potential for demotion, MYPA should certainly take this one.  PK is a decent play at -122 for draw protection, but I'm confident in the win.  JJK Jyväskylä is a great home side last year and historically.  And like MYPA, they defeated their opponent in all three contests last year.  Two of them by two goals and one by one.  I took the 0.75 for the half win if it is by one and full win if by two.  JJK should get off to a good start at home in the Veikkausliga and eye a Europa League berth, yet again.  Haka, on the other hand, will be with FF Jaro in the bottom of the standings.

In some other prominent Veikkausliga matches, Mariehamn should grab a win against KuPS courtesy of home pitch.  HJK is the perennially best team in Finland, but TPS can beat them at home, so I stayed away.  Inter Turku is another primer team, but VPS can be troublesome at home.  In most of these, it's too early to see how goals will go.  I couldn't pick a winner in the Superettan match with both squads looking relatively good and split results the last couple of seasons.  Ängelholm would take it, if it were home, in my opinion.  UEFA Europa League are another couple of tough calls.  Atlético and Valencia have been under in matches between them, but are over squads.  And Sporting should win at home, but Bilbao really wants this title.

Last batch of games, I didn't fare great on the W-L column, but the units weren't too bad. 1.5-0.5-3 for a loss of 3.89 or 0.39%.

LAST GAMES

15-Apr  LOSS 2.Bundesliga  1860 to win v. Bochum  +200; -5x; Total: 16.5-1.5-6  +137.66x
15-Apr  WIN 2.Bundesliga  Paderborn -0.75 v. Cottbus  +104; +10x; Total: 16.5-1.5-5  +142.66x
15-Apr  1/2 WIN 10x Superettan  Ängelholm -0.75 v. Västerås -103; +5x; Total: 15.5-1.5-5  +132.66x
15-Apr LOSS 10x Allsvenskan  Åtvidaberg win v. Mjällby +259; -3.89x; Total: 15-1-5  +127.66x
15-Apr LOSS 10x 1.Bundesliga  Freiburg/Hoffenheim o2.75 +107; -10x; Total: 15-1-4  +131.55x
14-Apr WIN 10x Blackhawks win v. Coyotes  -105; +10x; Total: 15-1-3  +141.55x
14 Apr WIN 5 Blues/Sharks u5 -125; +5x; Total: 14-1-3  +131.55x
13-Apr 1/2 WIN 10x Fürth -0.75 vs. Sankt Pauli -115; +5x; Total: 13-1-3  +126.55x
13-Apr WIN 10x  Union/Braunschweig u2.5 -101; +10x; Total: 12.5-0.5-3  +121.55x
10-Apr WIN 20x Copa Libertadores Deportivo Quito -1 vs. Defensor Sporting -107; +20x; Total: 11.5-0.5-3  +111.55x
10-Apr WIN 20x Copa Libertadores Deportivo Quito win vs. Defensor Sporting -171; +20x; Total: 10.5-0.5-3  +91.55x
10-Apr WIN 10x Allsvenskan Åtvidabergs win v. Gefle -102; +10x; Total: 9.5-0.5-3  +71.55x
10-Apr WIN 10x Allsvenskan Åtvidabergs/Gefle o2.5 +122 10x; +10x; Total: 8.5-0.5-3  +61.55x
10-Apr 1/2 WIN 10x Bundesliga Hertha Berlin/Freiburg o2.75 +107; +5x; Total: 7.5-0.5-3  +51.55x
10-Apr WIN 10x Bundesliga Mainz 05/Köln o2.75 -112; +10x; Total: 7-0-3  +46.55x
06-Apr LOSS  10x Allsvenskan (Swedish top tier)  Gefle to win vs. Syrianska  +107  10x; -9.35; Total: 6-0-3  +27.2x
06-Apr WIN 10x Championship (England second tier)  Reading -1 vs. Leeds +103; +10x; Total: 6-0-2  +36.55x
06-Apr LOSS 10x Championship (England second tier)  Watford/Blackpool o2.5  -139; -6.95; Total: 5-0-2  +26.55x
06-Apr WIN 10x Turkish Süper Lig  Karabükspor/Beşiktaş draw  +274; +5; Total: 5-0-1  +33.5x
05-Apr LOSS 10x NHL Senators/Bruins o5.5 -115  10x; -11.5x; Total: 4-0-1  +28.5
05-Apr WIN 10x UEFA Europa League: Hannover/Atlético o2.5 -120; +10x; Total: 4-0-0  +40x
04-Apr WIN 10x NHL Lightning/Canadians o5.5  -110: +10x; Total:   3-0-0  +30x
04-Apr WIN 10x UEFA CL Chelsea/Benfica o2.5  -117: +10x; Total: 2-0-0  +20x
03-Apr WIN 10x UEFA CL Bayern/Marseilles at half u4.5 -120; +10x; Total: 1-0-0  +10x.
 

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